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ألمانيا تتجه نحو انتخابات تشريعية مبكرة بعد خسارة شولتز ثقة البرلمان

أزمة سياسية تعصف بأكبر اقتصاد في أوروبا

شهد البرلمان الألماني (البوندستاغ) اليوم تصويتًا بسحب الثقة من المستشار أولاف شولتز، مما يمهد الطريق لإجراء انتخابات تشريعية مبكرة في فبراير/شباط المقبل. يأتي هذا التطور بعد أكثر من شهر على انهيار الائتلاف الحكومي الهش الذي كان يضم الحزب الاشتراكي الديمقراطي، وحزب الخضر، والحزب الديمقراطي الحر.

نتائج التصويت

في الجلسة التي عُقدت صباح الاثنين:

  • صوت 394 نائبًا ضد منح الثقة لشولتز.
  • أيده 207 نواب.
  • امتنع 116 نائبًا عن التصويت.

وبعد هذا التصويت، من المتوقع أن يطلب المستشار شولتز من الرئيس الألماني فرانك-فالتر شتاينماير حل البرلمان لإفساح المجال لإجراء الانتخابات في 23 فبراير/شباط 2024.

انهيار الائتلاف الحكومي

بدأت الأزمة في نوفمبر/تشرين الثاني 2024 عندما أقال شولتز وزير المالية الليبرالي بعد خلافات حادة حول السياسة الاقتصادية والميزانية. أدى ذلك إلى تفكك التحالف الحاكم، تاركًا شولتز يقود حكومة أقلية بقدرات تشريعية محدودة.

استطلاعات الرأي: تقدم المحافظين واليمين المتطرف

مع اقتراب الانتخابات، تُظهر استطلاعات الرأي تغييرات كبيرة في المشهد السياسي الألماني:

  • الاتحاد المسيحي الديمقراطي (CDU) بزعامة فريدريش ميرتس يتصدر بـ30% من نوايا التصويت.
  • البديل من أجل ألمانيا (AfD)، الحزب اليميني المتطرف، يحصد بين 17 و19.5%.
  • الحزب الاشتراكي الديمقراطي (SPD) بزعامة شولتز يتراجع إلى 15-17%.
  • حزب الخضر يحصل على 11.5-14%.

مستقبل السياسة الألمانية

إذا أكدت الانتخابات النتائج المتوقعة:

  1. الاتحاد المسيحي الديمقراطي قد يشكل حكومة مع شركاء جدد، مع احتمالية أن يستعيد هيمنته على السياسة الألمانية بعد غياب سنوات.
  2. البديل من أجل ألمانيا قد يحقق مكاسب غير مسبوقة، مما يثير مخاوف بشأن صعود اليمين المتطرف في قلب أوروبا.

تاريخيًا: سابقة نادرة في السياسة الألمانية

منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية، كانت الانتخابات المبكرة في ألمانيا نادرة. وسحب الثقة الذي شهده البرلمان اليوم يضع المستشار شولتز ضمن قائمة قصيرة من المستشارين الذين واجهوا مثل هذا المصير.

يبقى السؤال: هل ستعيد هذه الانتخابات الاستقرار إلى المشهد السياسي الألماني، أم ستدخل البلاد في فصل جديد من الانقسامات؟ ش ع

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    Other gripes: no native app, which means mobile browser only. Honestly it’s fine on my iPhone though an app would be nicer. The login can be sluggish in the evenings. Support’s live chat, English, decent, though the opening messages are copy-paste. Push past that and someone competent turns up.

  3. Been playing at Tenobet since roughly the spring, and I figure I’ve got enough mileage to actually comment. Came across it via a mate of mine who wanted a site with decent slot coverage that didn’t have all the affordability nonsense you see everywhere now on the UKGC sites. Should flag early: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, which cuts both ways.

    Game selection’s honestly massive — roughly 3,500+ slots going by the counter, and the usual heavy hitters are present: Pragmatic, NetEnt, Play’n GO, BTG, Betsoft, Microgaming’s back catalogue. Personally I stick to Gates of Olympus plus Gates of Olympus, which both load quick in browser. Live dealer’s all Evolution, which means what you’re getting — actual dealers, the game shows like Crazy Time if that’s your thing. There’s a sportsbook too, and it gets a bit of use from me for the football, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    On the sign-up offer is 100% up to ?125 and 100 free spins, and you need the code JOIN002 at deposit otherwise it just doesn’t apply. Check the playthrough before you commit, it’s not the loosest either. No no-deposit freebie unfortunately. If you want to see current promos, you’ll find them over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet casino[/url] if you’re curious. Minimum deposit is ?10, standard stuff, registration took under five minutes.

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    Couple of niggles: there’s no app, so you’re on browser only. Works fine on my phone though I do miss having one. Logging in can be fiddly in the evenings. Live chat at Tenobet is fine — maybe five minutes to get a human, but the first replies read like templates. Ask a specific question and someone competent turns up.

  4. I’ve been using Tenobet since roughly February, and I figure I have enough history to give an honest take. Came across it off a mate of mine who wanted somewhere with half-decent lobby depth without the usual affordability checks you see everywhere now on the UK licensed sites. Right, important bit: this isn’t UK Gambling Commission licensed and it isn’t on GamStop, which cuts both ways.

    Lobby’s genuinely big — somewhere around 4,000+ games last I looked, with the names you’d want are present: Pragmatic Play, NetEnt, Play n GO, Big Time Gaming, Yggdrasil, Microgaming. Mainly I rinse Sweet Bonanza plus Book of Dead, both run fine on mobile browser. Live dealer’s Evolution, so it’s what you’re getting — real croupiers, Crazy Time and Lightning Roulette if that’s your thing. Sports betting’s bolted on as well, and it gets a bit of use from me for the football, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    The welcome thing is 100% up to ?125 and 100 spins thrown in, and you need the promo code JOIN002 — I nearly forgot it the first time. Check the playthrough before you commit, it’s not the loosest to be honest. There’s no no-deposit bonus as far as I can tell. If you want to see the live offers, you’ll find them over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet[/url] before you sign up. Minimum deposit is ?10, standard stuff, registration took under five minutes.

    Cashouts have been the stronger part in my experience. Cards go through, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are there, and crypto if you prefer. Skrill withdrawals have landed within a day; Visa took a bit longer. The one thing that annoyed me was the verification — it took about two days to clear my documents, and my first withdrawal just sat there until that cleared. Not a scam, just a bit of a wait.

    Few more things: there’s no app, which means mobile browser only. Works fine on my iPhone though I do miss having one. Logging in can be fiddly at peak times. Support’s English-speaking and reasonably quick, though the first replies feel a bit scripted. Ask a specific question and they’re helpful enough.

  5. Been punting on Tenobet for the spring, so I figure I have a fair bit of history to give an honest take. Stumbled on it through a mate of mine who wanted a site with half-decent lobby depth that didn’t have the usual affordability nonsense you get now on the regulated UK ones. Right, important bit: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it isn’t on GamStop, and that cuts both ways.

    The lobby is genuinely big — somewhere around 3,000+ titles going by the counter, with the usual heavy hitters all turn up: Pragmatic, NetEnt, Play n GO, BTG, Yggdrasil, Microgaming’s back catalogue. Personally I grind Sweet Bonanza plus Gates of Olympus, which both behave properly in browser. The live rooms are all Evolution, which means what you’re getting — proper croupiers, the game shows like Crazy Time if that’s your thing. Sports betting’s bolted on as well, which I’ve dabbled in on the football, it’s fine, nothing more.

    Bonus-wise it’s a 100% match to ?125 and 100 spins thrown in, you’ll want the promo code JOIN002 at deposit — I nearly forgot it the first time. Check the playthrough first, it’s not amazing but not predatory to be honest. No no-deposit freebie that I could find. If you want to see current promos, you’ll find them over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet[/url] rather than taking my word for it. Minimum deposit is ?10, standard stuff, the form took maybe two minutes.

    Money side’s been generally fine in my experience. Cards work, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are supported, Bitcoin and a few other coins if you prefer. Skrill withdrawals have come through in under 24 hours; cards were slower, 3-4 days. The one thing that annoyed me was KYC — took about two days to verify me, so the first cashout just sat there the whole time. Not a scam, just slow.

    Few more things: there’s no app, which means the mobile site. Works fine on my iPhone though an app would be nicer. Logging in sometimes gets fiddly in the evenings. Support’s fine — maybe five minutes to get a human, but the first replies are copy-paste. Ask a specific question and they’re helpful enough.

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