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ألمانيا تتجه نحو انتخابات تشريعية مبكرة بعد خسارة شولتز ثقة البرلمان

أزمة سياسية تعصف بأكبر اقتصاد في أوروبا

شهد البرلمان الألماني (البوندستاغ) اليوم تصويتًا بسحب الثقة من المستشار أولاف شولتز، مما يمهد الطريق لإجراء انتخابات تشريعية مبكرة في فبراير/شباط المقبل. يأتي هذا التطور بعد أكثر من شهر على انهيار الائتلاف الحكومي الهش الذي كان يضم الحزب الاشتراكي الديمقراطي، وحزب الخضر، والحزب الديمقراطي الحر.

نتائج التصويت

في الجلسة التي عُقدت صباح الاثنين:

  • صوت 394 نائبًا ضد منح الثقة لشولتز.
  • أيده 207 نواب.
  • امتنع 116 نائبًا عن التصويت.

وبعد هذا التصويت، من المتوقع أن يطلب المستشار شولتز من الرئيس الألماني فرانك-فالتر شتاينماير حل البرلمان لإفساح المجال لإجراء الانتخابات في 23 فبراير/شباط 2024.

انهيار الائتلاف الحكومي

بدأت الأزمة في نوفمبر/تشرين الثاني 2024 عندما أقال شولتز وزير المالية الليبرالي بعد خلافات حادة حول السياسة الاقتصادية والميزانية. أدى ذلك إلى تفكك التحالف الحاكم، تاركًا شولتز يقود حكومة أقلية بقدرات تشريعية محدودة.

استطلاعات الرأي: تقدم المحافظين واليمين المتطرف

مع اقتراب الانتخابات، تُظهر استطلاعات الرأي تغييرات كبيرة في المشهد السياسي الألماني:

  • الاتحاد المسيحي الديمقراطي (CDU) بزعامة فريدريش ميرتس يتصدر بـ30% من نوايا التصويت.
  • البديل من أجل ألمانيا (AfD)، الحزب اليميني المتطرف، يحصد بين 17 و19.5%.
  • الحزب الاشتراكي الديمقراطي (SPD) بزعامة شولتز يتراجع إلى 15-17%.
  • حزب الخضر يحصل على 11.5-14%.

مستقبل السياسة الألمانية

إذا أكدت الانتخابات النتائج المتوقعة:

  1. الاتحاد المسيحي الديمقراطي قد يشكل حكومة مع شركاء جدد، مع احتمالية أن يستعيد هيمنته على السياسة الألمانية بعد غياب سنوات.
  2. البديل من أجل ألمانيا قد يحقق مكاسب غير مسبوقة، مما يثير مخاوف بشأن صعود اليمين المتطرف في قلب أوروبا.

تاريخيًا: سابقة نادرة في السياسة الألمانية

منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية، كانت الانتخابات المبكرة في ألمانيا نادرة. وسحب الثقة الذي شهده البرلمان اليوم يضع المستشار شولتز ضمن قائمة قصيرة من المستشارين الذين واجهوا مثل هذا المصير.

يبقى السؤال: هل ستعيد هذه الانتخابات الاستقرار إلى المشهد السياسي الألماني، أم ستدخل البلاد في فصل جديد من الانقسامات؟ ش ع

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مقالات ذات صلة

‫3٬082 تعليقات

  1. I’ve been punting on Tenobet since about the spring, and I suppose I’ve got enough experience to say something useful. Stumbled on it via a mate who was after something with decent slot coverage that didn’t have the usual affordability checks you run into now on the UKGC sites. Right, important bit: this isn’t UKGC licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, and that is either the point or a dealbreaker.

    Lobby’s honestly massive — about 3,000+ titles by my count, with the usual heavy hitters are all there: Pragmatic, NetEnt, Play’n GO, Big Time Gaming, Betsoft, Microgaming’s back catalogue. Mainly I stick to Gates of Olympus and Gates of Olympus, which both load quick in browser. Live side is Evolution, which means what you’re getting — actual dealers, Crazy Time when I fancy a punt on something daft. There’s a sportsbook too, and it I’ve dabbled in for footy, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    The welcome thing it’s a 100% match to ?125 plus 100 free spins, you have to use the promo code JOIN002 at deposit — I nearly forgot it the first time. Read the wagering before depositing, it’s not amazing but not predatory to be honest. Don’t expect free credit without depositing unfortunately. To check current promos, they’re listed over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net/]https://solvecovid19.net[/url] if you’re curious. Min deposit’s ?10, signing up took maybe two minutes.

    Payments have been generally fine in my experience. Visa/Mastercard work, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are supported, and crypto for anyone who wants that. E-wallet withdrawals have landed within a day; Visa took closer to three days. The one thing that annoyed me was KYC — took a day and a half to clear my documents, which held up the first payout just sat there the whole time. Not a scam, just a bit of a wait.

    Other gripes: no native app, so it’s browser only. Honestly it’s fine on my phone but I do miss having one. The login is occasionally a bit slow around weekend evenings. Live chat at Tenobet is fine — maybe five minutes to get a human, but the first replies feel a bit scripted. Get past the script and they’re helpful enough.

  2. I’ve been playing at Tenobet since about the spring, and I figure I have enough experience to say something useful. Stumbled on it via a mate who wanted a site with half-decent game coverage without the usual affordability nonsense you get now on the UKGC sites. Should flag early: it’s not UKGC licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, and that will matter to some of you a lot.

    Lobby’s pretty huge — roughly 3,000+ games by my count, and the names you’d want are all there: Pragmatic, Net Ent, Play’n GO, Big Time Gaming, Yggdrasil, Microgaming’s back catalogue. Mainly I grind Gates of Olympus and Book of Dead, both run fine on mobile browser. The live rooms are Evolution, so it’s what you’re getting — proper croupiers, the game shows like Crazy Time if that’s your thing. There’s a sportsbook too, and it gets a bit of use from me on the football, it’s fine, nothing more.

    The welcome thing it’s 100% up to ?125 and 100 free spins, you have to use the promo code JOIN002 or it won’t trigger. Do read the terms first, it’s not the loosest either. Don’t expect free credit without depositing as far as I can tell. To check what’s running currently, they’re listed at [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet reviews[/url] rather than taking my word for it. Minimum deposit is a tenner, the form took maybe two minutes.

    Cashouts have been the better half for me. Visa and Mastercard go through, Skrill and Neteller are supported, and crypto for anyone who wants that. Skrill withdrawals have landed same day twice; cards were closer to three days. The one thing that annoyed me was the verification — they took a day and a half to clear my documents, and my first withdrawal just sat there until that cleared. Nothing shady about it, but a bit of a wait.

    Couple of niggles: they don’t have an app, which means browser only. Works fine on my iPhone though an app would be nicer. The login sometimes gets sluggish around weekend evenings. Live chat at Tenobet is fine — maybe five minutes to get a human, but the first replies feel a bit scripted. Ask a specific question and they’re helpful enough.

  3. Been using Tenobet for March, and I figure I’ve got enough history to actually comment. Came across it through a mate who was chasing somewhere with decent game coverage that didn’t have the usual affordability checks you get now on the UKGC sites. Should flag early: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it isn’t on the GamStop scheme, and that cuts both ways.

    Lobby’s honestly massive — roughly 4,000+ titles going by the counter, with the usual heavy hitters all turn up: Pragmatic, NetEnt, Play’n GO, Big Time Gaming, Yggdrasil, Microgaming. Mainly I rinse Sweet Bonanza plus Sweet Bonanza, which both run fine in browser. The live rooms are all Evolution, so it’s what you’re getting — real croupiers, the game shows like Crazy Time if that’s your thing. There’s a sportsbook too, which I’ve dabbled in on the football, nothing special.

    Bonus-wise is 100% up to ?125 plus 100 free spins, you’ll want the code JOIN002 at deposit otherwise it just doesn’t apply. Check the playthrough before you commit, it’s not amazing but not predatory either. Don’t expect free credit without depositing unfortunately. If you want to see what’s running currently, you’ll find them at [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet[/url] rather than taking my word for it. Min deposit’s a tenner, the form took under five minutes.

    Payments have been generally fine in my experience. Visa/Mastercard go through, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are there, and crypto for anyone who wants that. Skrill withdrawals have come through same day twice; card payouts took a bit longer. The one thing that annoyed me was the verification — took about two days to verify me, which held up the first payout just sat there until that cleared. Not dodgy, just slower than I’d like.

    Few more things: there’s no app, so it’s the mobile site. Honestly it’s fine on Android but an app would be nicer. The login sometimes gets a bit slow at peak times. Live chat at Tenobet is fine — maybe five minutes to get a human, though the first replies feel a bit scripted. Push past that and they sort it.

  4. I’ve been using Tenobet for the spring, and I figure I have enough experience to say something useful. Stumbled on it via a mate who was chasing somewhere with proper lobby depth without the usual affordability nonsense you get now on the UK licensed sites. Should flag early: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it isn’t on the GamStop scheme, which will matter to some of you a lot.

    Game selection’s genuinely big — about 3,000+ titles going by the counter, with the providers that matter all turn up: Pragmatic Play, NetEnt, Play’n GO, BTG, Yggdrasil, Microgaming’s back catalogue. Personally I grind Sweet Bonanza plus Book of Dead, which both behave properly on mobile browser. Live side is all Evolution, which means what you’re getting — actual dealers, Crazy Time and Lightning Roulette for a change of pace. Sports betting’s bolted on as well, which I’ve used a handful of times for footy, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    On the sign-up offer is a 100% match to ?125 and 100 free spins, you have to use the promo code JOIN002 otherwise it just doesn’t apply. Do read the terms before depositing, the requirement is not amazing but not predatory either. There’s no no-deposit bonus as far as I can tell. If you want to see the live offers, you’ll find them over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet login[/url] rather than taking my word for it. Min deposit’s ?10, standard stuff, signing up took maybe two minutes.

    Payments have been the better half in my experience. Cards go through, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are supported, Bitcoin and a few other coins for anyone who wants that. E-wallet withdrawals have landed in under 24 hours; Visa took closer to three days. The one thing that annoyed me was KYC — took about two days to verify me, and my first withdrawal just sat there until that cleared. Not dodgy, but slower than I’d like.

    Other gripes: they don’t have an app, so it’s browser only. Honestly it’s fine on my iPhone though an app would be nicer. The login sometimes gets a bit slow at peak times. Live chat at Tenobet is live chat, English, decent, though the first replies feel a bit scripted. Get past the script and they sort it.

  5. Been using Tenobet for March, so I figure I’ve got enough experience to actually comment. Found it through a mate of mine who was chasing something with proper game coverage that didn’t have the usual deposit limit nagging you run into now on the UKGC sites. Worth saying up front: it’s not UKGC licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, and that will matter to some of you a lot.

    The lobby is pretty huge — somewhere around 3,500+ games going by the counter, with the providers that matter are all there: Pragmatic Play, Net Ent, Play’n GO, Big Time Gaming, Yggdrasil, Microgaming’s back catalogue. I mostly stick to Sweet Bonanza and Sweet Bonanza, both load quick on mobile browser. Live dealer’s all Evolution, so you know exactly what you expect — proper croupiers, the game shows like Crazy Time when I fancy a punt on something daft. They do sports as well, which gets a bit of use from me for footy, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    The welcome thing is 100% up to ?125 with 100 spins thrown in, you have to use the code JOIN002 at deposit otherwise it just doesn’t apply. Do read the terms before depositing, the requirement is not the loosest either. No no-deposit freebie that I could find. To check current promos, they’re listed at [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet[/url] rather than taking my word for it. Minimum deposit is ?10, standard stuff, registration took maybe two minutes.

    Payments have been generally fine for me. Cards go through, Skrill and Neteller are there, and crypto if you prefer. E-wallet withdrawals have come through same day twice; card payouts took slower, 3-4 days. The one thing that annoyed me was KYC — took a day and a half to verify me, which held up the first payout just sat there the whole time. Not a scam, just slower than I’d like.

    Couple of niggles: no native app, which means the mobile site. Works fine on my iPhone though I’d prefer a proper app. Logging in sometimes gets sluggish around weekend evenings. Live chat at Tenobet is English-speaking and reasonably quick, but the first replies read like templates. Get past the script and someone competent turns up.

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