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ألمانيا تتجه نحو انتخابات تشريعية مبكرة بعد خسارة شولتز ثقة البرلمان

أزمة سياسية تعصف بأكبر اقتصاد في أوروبا

شهد البرلمان الألماني (البوندستاغ) اليوم تصويتًا بسحب الثقة من المستشار أولاف شولتز، مما يمهد الطريق لإجراء انتخابات تشريعية مبكرة في فبراير/شباط المقبل. يأتي هذا التطور بعد أكثر من شهر على انهيار الائتلاف الحكومي الهش الذي كان يضم الحزب الاشتراكي الديمقراطي، وحزب الخضر، والحزب الديمقراطي الحر.

نتائج التصويت

في الجلسة التي عُقدت صباح الاثنين:

  • صوت 394 نائبًا ضد منح الثقة لشولتز.
  • أيده 207 نواب.
  • امتنع 116 نائبًا عن التصويت.

وبعد هذا التصويت، من المتوقع أن يطلب المستشار شولتز من الرئيس الألماني فرانك-فالتر شتاينماير حل البرلمان لإفساح المجال لإجراء الانتخابات في 23 فبراير/شباط 2024.

انهيار الائتلاف الحكومي

بدأت الأزمة في نوفمبر/تشرين الثاني 2024 عندما أقال شولتز وزير المالية الليبرالي بعد خلافات حادة حول السياسة الاقتصادية والميزانية. أدى ذلك إلى تفكك التحالف الحاكم، تاركًا شولتز يقود حكومة أقلية بقدرات تشريعية محدودة.

استطلاعات الرأي: تقدم المحافظين واليمين المتطرف

مع اقتراب الانتخابات، تُظهر استطلاعات الرأي تغييرات كبيرة في المشهد السياسي الألماني:

  • الاتحاد المسيحي الديمقراطي (CDU) بزعامة فريدريش ميرتس يتصدر بـ30% من نوايا التصويت.
  • البديل من أجل ألمانيا (AfD)، الحزب اليميني المتطرف، يحصد بين 17 و19.5%.
  • الحزب الاشتراكي الديمقراطي (SPD) بزعامة شولتز يتراجع إلى 15-17%.
  • حزب الخضر يحصل على 11.5-14%.

مستقبل السياسة الألمانية

إذا أكدت الانتخابات النتائج المتوقعة:

  1. الاتحاد المسيحي الديمقراطي قد يشكل حكومة مع شركاء جدد، مع احتمالية أن يستعيد هيمنته على السياسة الألمانية بعد غياب سنوات.
  2. البديل من أجل ألمانيا قد يحقق مكاسب غير مسبوقة، مما يثير مخاوف بشأن صعود اليمين المتطرف في قلب أوروبا.

تاريخيًا: سابقة نادرة في السياسة الألمانية

منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية، كانت الانتخابات المبكرة في ألمانيا نادرة. وسحب الثقة الذي شهده البرلمان اليوم يضع المستشار شولتز ضمن قائمة قصيرة من المستشارين الذين واجهوا مثل هذا المصير.

يبقى السؤال: هل ستعيد هذه الانتخابات الاستقرار إلى المشهد السياسي الألماني، أم ستدخل البلاد في فصل جديد من الانقسامات؟ ش ع

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‫3٬082 تعليقات

  1. Been using Tenobet for the spring, so I suppose I have enough experience to say something useful. Came across it off a mate who was after somewhere with decent slot coverage that didn’t have all the affordability checks you see everywhere now on the regulated UK ones. Worth saying up front: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it isn’t on the GamStop scheme, and that cuts both ways.

    Game selection’s honestly massive — about 3,500+ games last I looked, with the names you’d want are all there: Pragmatic, Net Ent, Play n GO, Big Time Gaming, Yggdrasil, Microgaming. Mainly I rinse Gates of Olympus and Sweet Bonanza, both load quick in browser. The live rooms are all Evolution, which means what you’re getting — actual dealers, the game shows like Crazy Time for a change of pace. They do sports as well, and it I’ve dabbled in on Premier League, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    The welcome thing it’s a 100% match to ?125 plus 100 free spins, you have to use the promo code JOIN002 — I nearly forgot it the first time. Read the wagering first, it’s fairly standard to be honest. No no-deposit freebie that I could find. To check what’s running currently, they’re listed over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet reviews[/url] rather than taking my word for it. Min deposit’s ?10, the form took about three minutes.

    Money side’s been generally fine in my experience. Visa/Mastercard go through, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are there, Bitcoin and a few other coins if you prefer. Skrill withdrawals have landed within a day; cards were closer to three days. The one thing that annoyed me was the verification — it took about two days to approve my ID, which held up the first payout sat waiting until that cleared. Not dodgy, just a bit of a wait.

    Few more things: there’s no app, so it’s mobile browser only. It’s responsive enough on Android though I’d prefer a proper app. Logging in is occasionally sluggish around weekend evenings. Support’s live chat, English, decent, though the opening messages read like templates. Get past the script and they’re helpful enough.

  2. Been playing at Tenobet for the spring, and I suppose I have enough experience to actually comment. Stumbled on it through someone on another board who was chasing somewhere with proper game coverage that didn’t have all the deposit limit nagging you get now on the UK licensed sites. Worth saying up front: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, which will matter to some of you a lot.

    Game selection’s genuinely big — somewhere around 4,000+ slots last I looked, with the names you’d want are all there: Pragmatic Play, NetEnt, Play’n GO, BTG, Yggdrasil, Microgaming. Mainly I stick to Gates of Olympus plus Book of Dead, which both load quick in browser. Live side is all Evolution, so you know what you’re getting — real croupiers, Crazy Time and Lightning Roulette if that’s your thing. There’s a sportsbook too, which I’ve used a handful of times on the football, nothing special.

    Bonus-wise it’s a 100% match to ?125 plus 100 free spins, and you need the promo code JOIN002 — I nearly forgot it the first time. Check the playthrough before you commit, the requirement is fairly standard either. There’s no no-deposit bonus as far as I can tell. To check what’s running currently, they’re listed over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet[/url] if you’re curious. Min deposit’s ?10, signing up took about three minutes.

    Cashouts have been generally fine in my experience. Cards work, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller are supported, Bitcoin and a few other coins for anyone who wants that. E-wallet withdrawals have landed same day twice; Visa took slower, 3-4 days. What did wind me up was KYC — took a day and a half to clear my documents, which held up the first payout just sat there the whole time. Not a scam, but a bit of a wait.

    Few more things: no native app, which means browser only. Works fine on my iPhone though I’d prefer a proper app. The login can be fiddly around weekend evenings. Live chat at Tenobet is English-speaking and reasonably quick, though the first replies feel a bit scripted. Push past that and someone competent turns up.

  3. Been playing at Tenobet since roughly February, so I suppose I have enough history to give an honest take. Found it off someone on another board who wanted something with half-decent slot coverage that didn’t have all the affordability checks you see everywhere now on the regulated UK ones. Should flag early: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, which will matter to some of you a lot.

    Game selection’s pretty huge — roughly 3,500+ slots going by the counter, and the providers that matter all turn up: Pragmatic Play, Net Ent, Play’n GO, Big Time Gaming, Betsoft, Microgaming’s back catalogue. Personally I grind Gates of Olympus and Gates of Olympus, both run fine on mobile browser. Live side is all Evolution, so it’s what you’re getting — actual dealers, Crazy Time and Lightning Roulette if that’s your thing. They do sports as well, and it I’ve dabbled in on Premier League, it’s fine, nothing more.

    The welcome thing is a 100% match to ?125 and 100 free spins, you have to use the code JOIN002 or it won’t trigger. Read the wagering before depositing, it’s not the loosest to be honest. There’s no no-deposit bonus unfortunately. To check current promos, you’ll find them over on [url=http://solvecovid19.net/]https://solvecovid19.net[/url] before you sign up. Min deposit’s ?10, standard stuff, the form took maybe two minutes.

    Payments have been the stronger part in my experience. Visa and Mastercard work, Skrill and Neteller are there, and crypto for anyone who wants that. Skrill withdrawals have come through in under 24 hours; cards were a bit longer. What did wind me up was the verification — they took 36-48 hours to verify me, so the first cashout sat waiting until that cleared. Not a scam, but a bit of a wait.

    Couple of niggles: no native app, so it’s the mobile site. It’s responsive enough on Android but I do miss having one. The login can be sluggish at peak times. Support’s fine — maybe five minutes to get a human, though the first replies read like templates. Push past that and they sort it.

  4. Been using Tenobet since roughly the spring, and I figure I’ve got a fair bit of mileage to give an honest take. Found it off a mate who was after something with proper game coverage without all the deposit limit nagging you run into now on the UK licensed sites. Should flag early: it’s not UK Gambling Commission licensed and it’s not on the GamStop scheme, and that cuts both ways.

    Game selection’s genuinely big — somewhere around 3,000+ slots last I looked, and the usual heavy hitters are all there: Pragmatic, Net Ent, Play’n GO, Big Time Gaming, Yggdrasil, Microgaming. Mainly I rinse Sweet Bonanza plus Book of Dead, which both behave properly in browser. Live dealer’s all Evolution, so it’s exactly what you expect — actual dealers, Crazy Time for a change of pace. Sports betting’s bolted on as well, which gets a bit of use from me for the football, decent odds, nothing groundbreaking.

    The welcome thing is a 100% match to ?125 plus 100 free spins, and you need the promo code JOIN002 — I nearly forgot it the first time. Do read the terms before you commit, it’s not amazing but not predatory to be honest. No no-deposit freebie as far as I can tell. If you want to see current promos, you’ll find them over on [url=https://solvecovid19.net]tenobet casino[/url] before you sign up. Minimum deposit is ?10, registration took about three minutes.

    Payments have been the stronger part for me. Visa/Mastercard work, Skrill and Neteller are supported, and crypto for anyone who wants that. Skrill withdrawals have come through in under 24 hours; Visa took slower, 3-4 days. The one thing that annoyed me was KYC — it took a day and a half to verify me, and my first withdrawal sat waiting until that cleared. Nothing shady about it, just slow.

    Few more things: there’s no app, so you’re on mobile browser only. Works fine on Android though I’d prefer a proper app. Logging in is occasionally sluggish around weekend evenings. Support’s live chat, English, decent, but the first replies are copy-paste. Ask a specific question and they sort it.

  5. I’ve been messing around on Craybet for like two months now and thought I’d throw out some thoughts because there’s not a ton of talk about them around here. Registered randomly one night and registration took maybe a couple minutes. Starting deposit was $10 and that’s normal for US-facing sites. I grabbed a welcome bonus — matched my first deposit 100% up to 500 plus 50 free spins on Gates of Olympus. Wagering was 35 times the bonus which isn’t amazing but I’ve dealt with worse.

    Their slots catalog is decent honestly. They’ve got games from Pragmatic Play, Betsoft, plus Play’n GO — meaning Book of Dead, Starburst, that kind of thing. Probably close to 2000 games when you add it all up. Live dealer stuff runs on Evolution and it’s smooth — played some baccarat and Crazy Time with actual croupiers and zero lag issues.

    Tbh the thing I wasn’t thrilled about was withdrawal times. I used Bitcoin and waited like a day and a half the first time. Once you’re verified though it was faster. You can use credit cards, e-wallets like Skrill and Neteller, Bitcoin which is most bases. You can check out what they’ve got going on over at [url=https://svnewtech.com]Craybet free spins[/url] to see for yourself.

    Using Craybet on mobile was surprisingly good. I didn’t find a native app — the web app is responsive and all the games load no problem. Was playing Book of Dead on the bus and didn’t notice any problems.

    Support at Craybet is okay — they have live chat and someone actually responds in under five minutes most times. Had to ask about a bonus that didn’t credit and got it fixed within hours. Licensing is operating under a Curacao license which is typical of US-friendly sites. Wouldn’t say it’s perfect — wish they had more payment options — but overall I keep coming back.

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